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Assessing the potential of air-source heat pumps in the Canadian residential sector.

Number: 0514

Author(s) : TAMASAUSKAS J., ROUSSEAU L., LACHANCE A., KEGEL M.

Summary

Air-source (air-air) heat pumps can play a critical role in driving an efficient electrification of space heating in Canadian buildings. However, the deployment of these systems is often challenging in Canada, complicated by large variations in climate, utility rates and structures, and existing heating energy sources. This paper uses a simulation-based approach, driven by an enhanced data-driven model, to develop a more comprehensive overview of the technical and economic potential of heat pumps as replacements for current common heating systems (natural gas furnace, oil furnace, electric baseboards) in Canadian residential buildings. Results highlight the economic value in transitioning from electric baseboards or oil furnaces to heat pump systems in each of the four regions examined (Halifax, Toronto, Winnipeg, Vancouver), and note the growing potential of heat pumps as replacements for natural gas furnaces, with planned carbon pricing resulting in lifecycle cost savings vs. gas furnaces by 2030 in all regions. Findings can be used to better understand the current and future context for heat pumps to support R&D, policy, and market development.

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Pages: 12

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  • Original title: Assessing the potential of air-source heat pumps in the Canadian residential sector.
  • Record ID : 30033269
  • Source: 14th IEA Heat Pump Conference 2023, Chicago, Illinois.
  • Publication date: 2023/05

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